Analysis of the global warming debate from the sceptical standpoint.
From the publisher's announcement:
In the global-warming debate, definitive answers to questions about ultimate causes and effects remain elusive. In Global Warming: Myth or Reality? Marcel Leroux seeks to separate fact from fiction in this critical debate from a climatological perspective. Beginning with a review of the dire hypotheses for climate trends, the author describes the history of the 1998 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and many subsequent conferences. He discusses the main conclusions of the three IPCC reports and the predicted impact on global temperatures, rainfall, weather and climate, while highlighting the mounting confusion and sensationalism of reports in the media. After taking a hard look at the reality of the greenhouse effect, the `evidence' from climate models, and the models' limitations, Leroux postulates alternate causes of climate change and analyses the trends for global temperatures, rainfall patterns, and sea level. He poses the `heretical' question if warming may be considered a benefit in some regions. Finally, Leroux suggests a number of priorities for climatologists to better understand processes of climate change, to integrate them into climate models, and to predict accurately future changes in climate. This timely and controversial book lays out the scientific case of the sizable sceptical scientific community who challenge the accepted wisdom.
- Introduction
- UNEP/IPCC history
- Conclusions of IPCC
- The message through the media
- The greeenhouse effect
- The climate models
- The possible causes of climate change
- The general circulation of the atmosphere
- The observational facts: palaeoclimatology
- The observational facts: present temperature
- The observational facts: present rainfall and weather
- The sea: its level and oceanographical "explanations"
- GHE and drought in the tropical margins
- GHE and "oscillations": NAO; NPO
- GHE would increase frequency of El Nino
- Real warming: a disaster or a benefit
- The true priorities of climatology
- Conclusions
Aus den Rezensionen: "! Als Professor fur Klimatologie ! ging Leroux dieser Entdeckung nach, indem er eine Vielzahl von Satellitenphotos auswertete. ! Der ! Klimatologe wirft seinen Zunftkollegen in einer ... grundlegenden Auseinandersetzung mit der These von der 'Globalen Erwarmung' vor, ! uberkommene Vorstellungen von den Triebkraften des Wettergeschehens kritisch in Frage zu stellen !Demgegenuber hat Leroux Ansatz, ! den Vorteil, die seit den 70er Jahren ohne Zweifel wachsende Zahl von Wetterextremen nachprufbar erklaren zu konnen !" (Edgar Gartner, in: Schweizer Monatshefte Zeitschrift fur Politik Wirtschaft Kultur, 2006, Vol. 86, Issue 11-12, S. 57 f.)